Athletics at Astros
Last play · Jake Meyers pops out to shortstop Alika Williams.
Win probability
Astros0%
ATH 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 5 – 0 HOU
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Astros favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Kurtz homers (12) on a line drive to right center field. Alika Williams scores. (inning 3) — -26% Athletics
5Brent Rooker homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.5–0
4Nick Kurtz reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Jeremy Peña. Zack Gelof scores.4–0
3Brent Rooker doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brice Matthews. Shea Langeliers scores.3–0
3Nick Kurtz homers (12) on a line drive to right center field. Alika Williams scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
