Tigers at Astros

Scoreboard

DET9–HOU3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · DET 30-42 · HOU 33-41

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
DET	1	1	3	0	1	0	2	0	1	9	11	0
HOU	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0

Last play · Jeremy Peña grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.

Win probability

Astros0%

DET 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

DET 6 – 3 HOU

Tigers led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+148 / -180

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Colt Keith homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Dillon Dingler scores. (inning 3) — -14% Tigers

Scoring plays

DET–HOU · 8 total

9Colt Keith homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.9–3

7Colt Keith homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Dillon Dingler scores.8–3

5Zach McKinstry flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews.6–3

3Jose Altuve homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.5–3

3Isaac Paredes homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Christian Walker scores.5–2

3Spencer Torkelson homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.5–0

3Colt Keith homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Dillon Dingler scores.4–0

2Kevin McGonigle homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.