Tigers at Astros

Scoreboard

DET2–HOU4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · DET 30-44 · HOU 35-41

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	0
HOU	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	·	4	9	0

Last play · Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros100%

DET 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

DET 0 – 3 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 49.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña homers (4) on a line drive to left field. (inning 3) — +11% Astros

Scoring plays

DET–HOU · 6 total

9Kevin McGonigle homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–4

7Kerry Carpenter homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.1–4

6Astros challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jeremy Peña singles on a line drive to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Joey Loperfido scores. Jake Meyers out at home on the throw, right fielder Kerry Carpenter to catcher Jake Rogers. Christian Vázquez to 3rd.0–4

5Isaac Paredes doubles (14) on a fly ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Yordan Alvarez scores.0–3

5Yordan Alvarez doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Christian Vázquez scores.0–2

3Jeremy Peña homers (4) on a line drive to left field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.