Twins at Astros

Scoreboard

MIN5–HOU4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · MIN 41-45 · HOU 42-45

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	5	8	0
HOU	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	6	1

Last play · Joey Loperfido grounds out softly, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Royce Lewis.

Win probability

Astros0%

MIN 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 2 – 1 HOU

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Josh Bell homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Brooks Lee scores. (inning 6) — -24% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–HOU · 7 total

9Cam Smith homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.5–4

9Taylor Trammell homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Isaac Paredes scores.5–3

7Kody Clemens grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker. Luke Keaschall scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd.5–1

6Josh Bell homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Brooks Lee scores.4–1

5Cam Smith homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.2–1

4Victor Caratini homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.2–0

4Royce Lewis homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.