Twins at Astros

Scoreboard

MIN4–HOU6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · MIN 41-46 · HOU 43-45

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	6	1
HOU	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	·	6	7	1

Last play · Alex Jackson strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros100%

MIN 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 4 – 6 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8 ↑

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+130 / -157

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez hits a grand slam (26) to right center field. Yainer Diaz scores. Raynel Delgado scores. Jose Altuve scores. (inning 4) — +46% Astros

Scoring plays

MIN–HOU · 6 total

5Josh Bell doubles (17) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Taylor Trammell. Kody Clemens scores.4–6

4Yordan Alvarez hits a grand slam (26) to right center field. Yainer Diaz scores. Raynel Delgado scores. Jose Altuve scores.3–6

4Jose Altuve challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jose Altuve walks. Taylor Trammell scores. Yainer Diaz to 3rd. Raynel Delgado to 2nd.3–2

4Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Cam Smith scores. Taylor Trammell to 2nd.3–1

1Ryan Kreidler singles on a line drive to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Kody Clemens scores. Royce Lewis scores. Victor Caratini to 3rd. Ryan Kreidler to 2nd. Ryan Kreidler advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Yordan Alvarez.3–0

1Victor Caratini hit by pitch. Trevor Larnach scores. Kody Clemens to 3rd. Royce Lewis to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.