Orioles at Astros

Scoreboard

BAL3–HOU2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · BAL 47-51 · HOU 47-52

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	5	0
HOU	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0

Last play · Christian Walker strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Astros0%

BAL 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 2 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 48% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Taylor Ward homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 8) — -52% Orioles

Scoring plays

BAL–HOU · 4 total

8Taylor Ward homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Adley Rutschman scores.3–2

3Isaac Paredes out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Jeremy Peña scores.1–2

3Christian Vázquez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Pete Alonso walks. Coby Mayo scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd. Taylor Ward to 2nd.1–1

1Yordan Alvarez doubles (18) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Jeremy Peña scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.