Orioles at Astros

Scoreboard

BAL4–HOU2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · BAL 48-51 · HOU 47-53

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	5	2
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	9	0

Last play · Zach Dezenzo called out on strikes, catcher Samuel Basallo to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Win probability

Astros0%

BAL 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 1 – 0 HOU

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 48% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -110

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez hits a ground-rule double (19) on a line drive down the right-field line. Lucas Spence scores. Nick Allen to 3rd. (inning 10) — +42% Astros

Scoring plays

BAL–HOU · 6 total

11Leody Taveras singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Taylor Ward scores. Tyler O'Neill to 3rd.4–2

11Tyler O'Neill singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jose Altuve. Gunnar Henderson scores. Taylor Ward to 2nd.3–2

10Yordan Alvarez hits a ground-rule double (19) on a line drive down the right-field line. Lucas Spence scores. Nick Allen to 3rd.2–2

10Jeremiah Jackson out on a sacrifice bunt to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr. Leody Taveras scores. Christian Encarnacion-Strand to 2nd.2–1

7Nick Allen out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Rico Garcia to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Zach Dezenzo scores. Lucas Spence to 2nd.1–1

4Dylan Beavers doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Pete Alonso scores. Samuel Basallo to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.