Marlins at Astros

Scoreboard

MIA5–HOU8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · MIA 52-49 · HOU 48-54

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	5	9	0
HOU	0	6	0	0	1	0	1	0	·	8	8	0

Last play · Liam Hicks flies out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.

Win probability

Astros100%

MIA 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 4 – 7 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+102 / -123

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña hits a grand slam (7) to right field. Yainer Diaz scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. Lucas Spence scores. (inning 2) — +41% Astros

Scoring plays

MIA–HOU · 8 total

9Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell, deflected by shortstop Jeremy Peña. Javier Sanoja scores. Kyle Stowers to 2nd.5–8

7Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Isaac Paredes scores.4–8

5Yordan Alvarez homers (33) on a fly ball to right center field.4–7

4Liam Hicks homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Xavier Edwards scores.4–6

2Yordan Alvarez homers (32) on a fly ball to right center field.2–6

2Jeremy Peña hits a grand slam (7) to right field. Yainer Diaz scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. Lucas Spence scores.2–5

2Taylor Trammell singles on a ground ball to right fielder Griffin Conine. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Yainer Diaz to 2nd.2–1

2Joe Mack homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jakob Marsee scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.