Marlins at Astros

Scoreboard

MIA3–HOU5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · MIA 52-50 · HOU 49-54

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	3	8	1
HOU	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	·	5	8	0

Last play · Kyle Stowers pops out to third baseman Isaac Paredes.

Win probability

Astros100%

MIA 0%HOU 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 1 – 5 HOU

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 7.5 ↑

fair over 50.3% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-107 / -112

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremy Peña scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. (inning 5) — +20% Astros

Scoring plays

MIA–HOU · 5 total

7Joe Mack homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Javier Sanoja scores.3–5

5Isaac Paredes homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremy Peña scores. Yordan Alvarez scores.1–5

5Kyle Stowers doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence. Otto Lopez scores.1–2

2Lucas Spence doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Christian Walker to 3rd.0–2

1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Jeremy Peña homers (8) on a line drive to left center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.