Mariners at Astros

Scoreboard

SEA10–HOU5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Daikin Park · SEA 58-66 · HOU 63-61

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SEA	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	10	15	0
HOU	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5	8	2

Last play · Cam Smith pops out to first baseman Josh Naylor in foul territory.

Win probability

Astros0%

SEA 100%HOU 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

SEA 5 – 2 HOU

Mariners led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+111 / -119

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Astros favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Victor Robles triples (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith, deflected by center fielder Daulton Varsho. Josh Naylor scores. Cole Young scores. (inning 2) — -24% Mariners

Scoring plays

SEA–HOU · 8 total

9Christian Walker grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor. Jose Altuve scores.10–5

9Cole Young homers (15) on a fly ball to right field. Julio Rodríguez scores. Josh Naylor scores.10–4

8Isaac Paredes homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Jeremy Peña scores.7–4

8Brendan Donovan singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Brock Rodden scores.7–2

8Brock Rodden doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Victor Robles scores.6–2

4Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Trammell. Cole Young scores. Victor Robles to 3rd.5–2

2Christian Vázquez homers (6) on a line drive to left field.4–2

2Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Victor Robles scores.4–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.