Angels at Astros
Last play · Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Astros0%
LAA 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 3 – 0 HOU
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+137 / -147
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Astros favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Schanuel singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Wade Meckler scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. (inning 3) — -14% Angels
8Cam Smith homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
5Zach Neto doubles (24) on a fly ball to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Nolan Schanuel scores.3–0
4Josh Lowe homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
3Nolan Schanuel singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Wade Meckler scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
