White Sox at Astros
Last play · Cam Smith grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
Astros0%
CWS 100%HOU 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 0 HOU
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+122 / -147
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Astros favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores. (inning 5) — -21% White Sox
8Isaac Paredes homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
7Randal Grichuk doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Munetaka Murakami scores. Colson Montgomery scores.5–0
5Colson Montgomery doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Miguel Vargas scores. Andrew Benintendi scores.3–0
5Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Sam Antonacci scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
