White Sox at Royals
Last play · Colson Montgomery flies out to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Royals100%
CWS 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 1 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia homers (2) on a line drive to left center field. (inning 1) — +13% Royals
8Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Maikel Garcia scores.0–2
1Maikel Garcia homers (2) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
