White Sox at Royals
Last play · Munetaka Murakami lines out sharply to center fielder Kyle Isbel.
Win probability
Royals100%
CWS 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 1 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+153 / -186
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Royals favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Tanner Murray. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 4) — +13% Royals
7Carter Jensen homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
4Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Tanner Murray. Maikel Garcia scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
