Angels at Royals
Last play · Jo Adell grounds into a force out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to second baseman Michael Massey. Mike Trout out at 2nd.
Win probability
Royals100%
LAA 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 5 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-108 / -112
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Royals favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Starling Marte out on a sacrifice fly. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Lane Thomas out at 2nd. Starling Marte to 1st. (inning 4) — +13% Royals
8Isaac Collins singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryce Teodosio. Kyle Isbel scores.3–6
7Jo Adell grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Loftin to second baseman Michael Massey. Bryce Teodosio scores. Zach Neto to 3rd. Mike Trout out at 2nd. Jo Adell to 1st.3–5
7Mike Trout walks. Logan O'Hoppe scores. Bryce Teodosio to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.2–5
7Zach Neto singles on a fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Vaughn Grissom scores. Logan O'Hoppe to 3rd. Bryce Teodosio to 2nd.1–5
4Michael Massey doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Elias Díaz scores.0–5
4Angels challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Angels challenged (fair or foul in outfield), call on the field was upheld: Elias Díaz doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryce Teodosio. Carter Jensen scores. Isaac Collins scores.0–4
4Isaac Collins singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Starling Marte scores. Carter Jensen to 3rd.0–2
4Starling Marte out on a sacrifice fly. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Lane Thomas out at 2nd. Starling Marte to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
