Angels at Royals
Last play · Lane Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Carter Jensen scores. Maikel Garcia scores.
Win probability
Royals100%
LAA 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 6 – 1 KC
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-108 / -112
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Royals favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Carter Jensen scores. Maikel Garcia scores. (inning 10) — +51% Royals
10Lane Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Carter Jensen scores. Maikel Garcia scores.9–11
10Oswald Peraza strikes out swinging.9–8
9Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jac Caglianone homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Salvador Perez scores.8–8
9Salvador Perez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.8–6
9Bryce Teodosio walks. Oswald Peraza scores. Jo Adell to 3rd. Passed ball by catcher Carter Jensen.8–5
7Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Michael Massey scores.7–5
7Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Isaac Collins homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.7–4
7Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Jorge Soler scores.7–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
