Astros at Royals

Scoreboard

HOU0–KC4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · HOU 33-40 · KC 29-43

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1
KC	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	·	4	10	1

Last play · Joey Loperfido grounds out, second baseman Michael Massey to first baseman Jac Caglianone.

Win probability

Royals100%

HOU 0%KC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 0 – 4 KC

Royals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-102 / -119

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jac Caglianone singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Isaac Collins scores. Carter Jensen to 2nd. (inning 3) — +12% Royals

Scoring plays

HOU–KC · 3 total

3Maikel Garcia doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Carter Jensen scores. Jac Caglianone scores.0–4

3Jac Caglianone singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Isaac Collins scores. Carter Jensen to 2nd.0–2

1Maikel Garcia singles on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.