Rays at Royals

Scoreboard

TB4–KC0

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · TB 50-33 · KC 35-52

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	11	2
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0

Last play · Carter Jensen lines out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.

Win probability

Royals0%

TB 100%KC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 2 – 0 KC

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10.5

opened 10.5

fair over 50.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-155 / +128

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Junior Caminero homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan Aranda scores. (inning 1) — -21% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–KC · 3 total

8Cedric Mullins singles on a line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Cedric Mullins to 2nd.4–0

6Cedric Mullins homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.3–0

1Junior Caminero homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan Aranda scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.