Rays at Royals

Scoreboard

TB5–KC2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · TB 51-33 · KC 35-53

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5	11	1
KC	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	5	0

Last play · Michael Massey grounds out, second baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Win probability

Royals0%

TB 100%KC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 5 – 1 KC

Rays led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10

opened 10.5 ↓

fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-122 / +101

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Cedric Mullins homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Chandler Simpson scores. (inning 5) — -17% Rays

Scoring plays

TB–KC · 6 total

7Isaac Collins homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.5–2

5Cedric Mullins homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Chandler Simpson scores.5–1

2Hunter Feduccia triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Kameron Misner. Richie Palacios scores.3–1

2Richie Palacios singles on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Taylor Walls scores.2–1

2Taylor Walls doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kameron Misner. Chandler Simpson scores.1–1

1Carter Jensen homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.