Padres at Royals

Scoreboard

SD6–KC7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · SD 48-49 · KC 39-59

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
SD	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	3	6	8	2
KC	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	4	7	13	2

Last play · Carter Jensen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jase Bowen. Michael Massey scores. Nick Loftin scores.

Win probability

Royals100%

SD 0%KC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 2 – 1 KC

Padres led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

11

opened 10.5 ↑

fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-110 / -109

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Carter Jensen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jase Bowen. Michael Massey scores. Nick Loftin scores. (inning 10) — +39% Royals

Scoring plays

SD–KC · 8 total

10Carter Jensen singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jase Bowen. Michael Massey scores. Nick Loftin scores.6–7

10Isaac Collins grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France. Salvador Perez scores. Michael Massey to 3rd. Nick Loftin to 2nd.6–5

10Michael Massey singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 2nd.6–4

10Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Sung-Mun Song scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.6–3

10Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Loftin. Miguel Andujar scores. Sung-Mun Song to 3rd.5–3

10Miguel Andujar doubles (20) on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Loftin. Jake Cronenworth scores.4–3

9Ty France homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3

8Michael Massey singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd. Michael Massey to 2nd. Michael Massey advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Jackson Merrill.2–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.