Twins at Royals

Scoreboard

MIN2–KC8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · MIN 56-58 · KC 47-67

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	2
KC	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	·	8	10	1

Last play · Ryan Jeffers grounds out, third baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Jac Caglianone.

Win probability

Royals100%

MIN 0%KC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 1 – 5 KC

Royals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-142 / +133

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Kyle Isbel scores. Carter Jensen scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd. Bobby Witt Jr. advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Ryan Kreidler. (inning 5) — +18% Royals

Scoring plays

MIN–KC · 8 total

8Kyle Isbel singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Starling Marte scores.2–8

8Starling Marte doubles (5) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Nick Loftin scores. Isaac Collins scores.2–7

8Josh Bell homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.2–5

5Jac Caglianone reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Royce Lewis. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.1–5

5Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (23) on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Kyle Isbel scores. Carter Jensen scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd. Bobby Witt Jr. advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Ryan Kreidler.1–4

4Alan Roden out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder John Rave. Kody Clemens scores. Brooks Lee to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder John Rave.1–2

1Michael Massey doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Jac Caglianone scores.0–2

1Salvador Perez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.