Cubs at Royals

Scoreboard

CHC3–KC6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · CHC 68-50 · KC 49-69

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	3	7	0
KC	1	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	·	6	10	1

Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Royals100%

CHC 0%KC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 2 – 4 KC

Royals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9.5 ↓

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-148 / +138

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Josh Rojas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Michael Massey scores. John Rave scores. (inning 2) — +16% Royals

Scoring plays

CHC–KC · 6 total

7Jac Caglianone homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Carter Jensen scores.3–6

6Ian Happ homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4

4Carson Kelly doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Alex Bregman scores. Nico Hoerner scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. Carson Kelly advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.2–4

3Jac Caglianone doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–4

2Josh Rojas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Michael Massey scores. John Rave scores.0–3

1Jac Caglianone homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.