Cubs at Royals

Scoreboard

CHC10–KC2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Kauffman Stadium · CHC 69-50 · KC 49-70

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	1	0	2	1	0	3	3	0	0	10	18	0
KC	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0

Last play · Tyler Tolbert flies out to right fielder Michael Conforto.

Win probability

Royals0%

CHC 100%KC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 4 – 2 KC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10.5

opened 10 ↑

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-158 / +147

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Royals favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Starling Marte homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Salvador Perez scores. (inning 4) — +21% Royals

Scoring plays

CHC–KC · 8 total

7Miguel Amaya homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson scores.10–2

6Ian Happ homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Alex Bregman scores.7–2

6Alex Bregman singles on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.5–2

4Starling Marte homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Salvador Perez scores.4–2

4Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Starling Marte. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Michael Busch to 2nd.4–0

3Nico Hoerner singles on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Ian Happ scores. Michael Conforto to 2nd.3–0

3Michael Conforto singles on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Michael Busch scores. Ian Happ to 2nd.2–0

1Michael Conforto out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Starling Marte. Michael Busch scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.