Blue Jays at Angels
Last play · Angels challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Nolan Schanuel grounds into a double play, second baseman Ernie Clement to shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Yoán Moncada out at 2nd. Nolan Schanuel out at 1st.
Win probability
Angels0%
TOR 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 1 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -150
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lenyn Sosa doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. (inning 8) — -39% Blue Jays
9Yoán Moncada singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Myles Straw. Mike Trout scores. Jo Adell to 3rd. Jorge Soler to 2nd.4–2
8Eloy Jiménez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Davis Schneider scores.4–1
8Lenyn Sosa doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Ernie Clement scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.3–1
6Eloy Jiménez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Bryce Teodosio. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.1–1
5Vaughn Grissom out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Oswald Peraza scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
