Mets at Angels
Last play · Oswald Peraza challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Oswald Peraza called out on strikes.
Win probability
Angels0%
NYM 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 1 LAA
Mets led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Carson Benge scores. (inning 4) — -26% Mets
8Mark Vientos homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Benge scores.5–1
8Carson Benge doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Brett Baty scores.3–1
4Mark Vientos homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Carson Benge scores.2–1
1Jorge Soler singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
