Mets at Angels
Last play · Oswald Peraza singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Adam Frazier scores. Jorge Soler to 3rd. Jo Adell to 2nd.
Win probability
Angels100%
NYM 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 3 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyrone Taylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 7) — -22% Mets
10Oswald Peraza singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Adam Frazier scores. Jorge Soler to 3rd. Jo Adell to 2nd.3–4
7Tyrone Taylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Marcus Semien scores.3–3
7Andy Ibáñez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Mark Vientos scores.2–3
4Vaughn Grissom singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Jorge Soler scores. Jo Adell scores.1–3
3Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Austin Slater scores.1–1
1Jo Adell singles on a line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Nolan Schanuel scores. Jorge Soler out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Austin Slater to third baseman Bo Bichette.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
