Dodgers at Angels
Last play · Zach Neto called out on strikes.
Win probability
Angels0%
LAD 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 0 LAA
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-149 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages walks. Mookie Betts scores. Freddie Freeman to 3rd. Will Smith to 2nd. (inning 6) — -14% Dodgers
9Shohei Ohtani doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Max Muncy scores. Teoscar Hernández scores. Hyeseong Kim scores.15–2
9Teoscar Hernández singles on a ground ball to third baseman Vaughn Grissom. Andy Pages scores. Max Muncy to 2nd.12–2
9Max Muncy reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Alek Manoah. Will Smith scores. Andy Pages to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Alek Manoah.11–2
8Mookie Betts homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.10–2
8Angels challenged (stadium boundary call), call on the field was upheld: Shohei Ohtani triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Max Muncy scores. Alex Call scores. Shohei Ohtani scores. Throwing error by right fielder Jo Adell.9–2
6Jo Adell doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Andy Pages. Zach Neto scores. Jorge Soler scores.6–2
6Alex Call singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Siri. Andy Pages scores. Max Muncy scores. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.6–0
6Teoscar Hernández hit by pitch. Will Smith scores. Andy Pages to 3rd. Max Muncy to 2nd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
