Dodgers at Angels
Last play · Bryce Teodosio flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
Win probability
Angels0%
LAD 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 4 – 0 LAA
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Will Smith scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 4) — -34% Dodgers
6Teoscar Hernández homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Max Muncy scores.6–0
4Max Muncy homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
4Andy Pages homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Will Smith scores. Kyle Tucker scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
