Athletics at Angels
ATH14–
LAA6Last play · Logan O'Hoppe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
ATH 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 6 – 4 LAA
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colby Thomas doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Darell Hernaiz scores. Nick Kurtz scores. (inning 3) — -21% Athletics
9Darell Hernaiz singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Zack Gelof scores.14–6
8Josh Lowe doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Nolan Schanuel scores. Logan O'Hoppe scores.13–6
8Brent Rooker homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Kurtz scores.13–4
8Nick Kurtz doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Jeff McNeil scores. Shea Langeliers scores.11–4
7Zack Gelof homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.9–4
6Nick Kurtz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Jonah Heim scores. Darell Hernaiz scores. Shea Langeliers to 3rd.8–4
4Vaughn Grissom singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Colby Thomas. Jose Siri scores. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.6–4
4Jonah Heim challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Mike Trout walks. Oswald Peraza scores. Jose Siri to 3rd. Zach Neto to 2nd.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.