Athletics at Angels
Last play · Jorge Soler grounds out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Nick Kurtz.
Win probability
Angels0%
ATH 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 3 – 5 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+101 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 9) — -41% Athletics
10Tyler Soderstrom triples (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Josh Lowe. Nick Kurtz scores.6–5
9Jeff McNeil homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.5–5
7Nick Kurtz singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Darell Hernaiz scores. Carlos Cortes out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Mike Trout to shortstop Zach Neto.4–5
2Josh Lowe homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Logan O'Hoppe scores.3–5
2Jo Adell homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
2Carlos Cortes singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Josh Lowe. Henry Bolte scores. Darell Hernaiz to 3rd. Carlos Cortes to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Josh Lowe.3–2
1Jorge Soler homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Mike Trout scores.2–2
1Tyler Soderstrom singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Shea Langeliers scores. Nick Kurtz scores. Brent Rooker to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
