Rangers at Angels
Last play · Andrew McCutchen pops out to second baseman Oswald Peraza.
Win probability
Angels100%
TEX 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 3 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+104 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mike Trout homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Zach Neto scores. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
8Oswald Peraza singles on a ground ball to left fielder Andrew McCutchen. Jorge Soler scores. Jo Adell scores. Jose Siri to 3rd. Oswald Peraza to 2nd.2–5
7Kyle Higashioka homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
5Nolan Schanuel doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Zach Neto scores.1–3
2Ezequiel Duran out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mike Trout. Alejandro Osuna scores. Evan Carter to 3rd.1–2
1Mike Trout homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Zach Neto scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
