Rangers at Angels
TEX6–
LAA9Last play · Brandon Nimmo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
TEX 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 6 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-137 / +114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wade Meckler homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Mike Trout scores. Jorge Soler scores. (inning 1) — +15% Angels
9Danny Jansen homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.6–9
8Nolan Schanuel singles on a ground ball to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Mike Trout scores.5–9
8Zach Neto homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.5–8
7Oswald Peraza homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.5–7
7Brandon Nimmo doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Andrew McCutchen scores. Josh Jung out at home on the throw, right fielder Jo Adell to shortstop Zach Neto to catcher Logan O'Hoppe.5–6
6Justin Foscue singles on a line drive to left fielder Wade Meckler. Jake Burger scores.4–6
4Evan Carter triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Jake Burger scores. Justin Foscue scores.3–6
4Brandon Nimmo homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.