Rangers at Angels
Last play · Oswald Peraza grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Justin Foscue. Donovan Walton scores. Jo Adell out at 2nd. Oswald Peraza to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Justin Foscue.
Win probability
Angels100%
TEX 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 1 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+104 / -125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — -20% Rangers
9Oswald Peraza grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Justin Foscue. Donovan Walton scores. Jo Adell out at 2nd. Oswald Peraza to 1st. Throwing error by second baseman Justin Foscue.1–2
3Mike Trout singles on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Sebastián Rivero scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd.1–1
2Jake Burger homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
