Rockies at Angels
Last play · Angels challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Jose Siri grounds into a double play, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Oswald Peraza out at 2nd. Jose Siri out at 1st.
Win probability
Angels0%
COL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 3 – 6 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (14) on a line drive to left field. Jake McCarthy scores. Tyler Freeman scores. (inning 8) — -65% Rockies
9TJ Rumfield out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Kyle Karros scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.9–8
8Jorge Soler triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Troy Johnston. Adam Frazier scores. Donovan Walton scores.8–8
8Hunter Goodman homers (14) on a line drive to left field. Jake McCarthy scores. Tyler Freeman scores.8–6
8Tyler Freeman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Siri. Kyle Karros scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.5–6
8Kyle Karros doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Jose Siri. Sterlin Thompson scores.4–6
5Nick Madrigal lines out to left fielder Troy Johnston.3–6
5Sterlin Thompson singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Willi Castro scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd.3–5
3Jose Siri hits a grand slam (2) to left center field. Jorge Soler scores. Jo Adell scores. Oswald Peraza scores.2–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
