Rockies at Angels
Last play · Adam Frazier grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Oswald Peraza out at 2nd.
Win probability
Angels0%
COL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 8 – 2 LAA
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Hunter Goodman homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — -20% Rockies
5Wade Meckler doubles (2) on a fly ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Jorge Soler scores. Mike Trout scores.8–2
4TJ Rumfield reaches on a fielding error by right fielder Jo Adell. TJ Rumfield scores.8–0
4Willi Castro homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Edouard Julien scores. Jake McCarthy scores.7–0
4Jake McCarthy singles on a line drive to left fielder Wade Meckler. Kyle Karros scores. Edouard Julien to 3rd. Jake McCarthy to 2nd. Jake McCarthy advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by left fielder Wade Meckler.4–0
2Edouard Julien singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Sterlin Thompson scores. Edouard Julien out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jo Adell to shortstop Oswald Peraza. Kyle Karros to 3rd.3–0
2Ezequiel Tovar out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jo Adell. Troy Johnston scores.2–0
2Hunter Goodman homers (15) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
