Astros at Angels
Last play · Collin Price strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Angels100%
HOU 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 7 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+108 / -130
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wade Meckler doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Sebastián Rivero scores. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. (inning 2) — +11% Angels
8Denzer Guzman grounds into a force out, shortstop Shay Whitcomb to second baseman Brice Matthews. Jo Adell scores. Oswald Peraza out at 2nd. Denzer Guzman to 1st.1–10
8Oswald Peraza reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Isaac Paredes. Wade Meckler scores. Jo Adell to 3rd.1–9
8Trey Mancini out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Mike Trout scores. Wade Meckler to 3rd. Jo Adell to 2nd.1–8
7Brice Matthews singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jose Siri. Collin Price scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd.1–7
2Oswald Peraza grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker. Jo Adell scores. Nolan Schanuel to 2nd.0–7
2Jo Adell doubles (9) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Mike Trout scores. Wade Meckler scores.0–6
2Wade Meckler doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Joey Loperfido. Sebastián Rivero scores. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.0–4
1Oswald Peraza grounds into a force out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jose Altuve. Wade Meckler scores. Jo Adell to 3rd. Nolan Schanuel out at 2nd. Oswald Peraza to 1st.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
