Rays at Angels
Last play · Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
TB 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 4 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 49.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trey Mancini triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Mike Trout scores. Jo Adell scores. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
9Jonathan Aranda singles on a line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Nick Fortes scores. Victor Mesa Jr. to 3rd.3–4
5Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Chandler Simpson scores. Nick Fortes scores. Taylor Walls to 2nd.2–4
3Logan O'Hoppe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Vilade. Nick Madrigal scores.0–4
3Nick Madrigal singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ben Williamson. Oswald Peraza scores.0–3
1Trey Mancini triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Mike Trout scores. Jo Adell scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
