Orioles at Angels
Last play · Logan O'Hoppe singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Samuel Basallo. Nolan Schanuel scores.
Win probability
Angels100%
BAL 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 5 – 2 LAA
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wade Meckler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Vaughn Grissom scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. Denzer Guzman to 2nd. (inning 8) — +45% Angels
10Logan O'Hoppe singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Samuel Basallo. Nolan Schanuel scores.6–7
10Nolan Schanuel singles on a ground ball to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson. Oswald Peraza scores. Nolan Schanuel to 3rd. Nolan Schanuel advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by second baseman Jeremiah Jackson.6–6
10Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to right fielder Wade Meckler. Taylor Ward scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.6–5
8Wade Meckler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Vaughn Grissom scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. Denzer Guzman to 2nd.5–5
8Vaughn Grissom singles on a line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Donovan Walton scores.5–3
3Samuel Basallo homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Pete Alonso scores.5–2
3Pete Alonso doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Christian Moore. Leody Taveras scores.3–2
2Samuel Basallo homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Pete Alonso scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
