Orioles at Angels
Last play · Samuel Basallo flies out to left fielder Wade Meckler.
Win probability
Angels100%
BAL 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 0 – 5 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Schanuel homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Zach Neto scores. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
7Leody Taveras singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Gunnar Henderson scores. Samuel Basallo to 2nd.1–5
5Jorge Soler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. Vaughn Grissom scores.0–5
5Vaughn Grissom singles on a ground ball to left fielder Taylor Ward. Jose Siri scores. Zach Neto scores.0–4
1Nolan Schanuel homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Zach Neto scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
