Tigers at Angels
Last play · Denzer Guzman grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Angels0%
DET 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 1 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-217 / +177
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (stadium boundary call), call on the field was upheld: Hao-Yu Lee doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. James Outman scores. Riley Greene scores. (inning 9) — -71% Tigers
9Umpire reviewed (stadium boundary call), call on the field was upheld: Hao-Yu Lee doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. James Outman scores. Riley Greene scores.2–1
1Josh Lowe grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Zach Neto scores. Nolan Schanuel to 3rd. Jorge Soler to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
