Tigers at Angels
Last play · Hao-Yu Lee pops out to shortstop Zach Neto.
Win probability
Angels100%
DET 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 2 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-149 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Soler grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. Nolan Schanuel to 2nd. (inning 5) — +15% Angels
9Riley Greene homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.2–3
6Zach Neto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Oswald Peraza scores.1–3
5Jorge Soler grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd. Nolan Schanuel to 2nd.1–2
2Oswald Peraza singles on a ground ball to third baseman Colt Keith. Vaughn Grissom scores.1–1
1Kevin McGonigle homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
