Cardinals at Angels
Last play · Jo Adell hit by pitch. Jose Siri scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd. Josh Lowe to 2nd.
Win probability
Angels100%
STL 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 1 LAA
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+104 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Vaughn Grissom doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Oswald Peraza scores. Jose Siri to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Angels
9Jo Adell hit by pitch. Jose Siri scores. Vaughn Grissom to 3rd. Josh Lowe to 2nd.2–3
9Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Vaughn Grissom doubles (13) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Oswald Peraza scores. Jose Siri to 3rd.2–2
3Jo Adell homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
2Blaze Jordan grounds out, third baseman Denzer Guzman to first baseman Nolan Schanuel. Lars Nootbaar scores. Nathan Church to 2nd.2–0
2Nathan Church singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Jordan Walker scores. Lars Nootbaar to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
