Cardinals at Angels
Last play · Blaze Jordan strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels100%
STL 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 5 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 52% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Soler doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Mike Trout scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. (inning 1) — +17% Angels
5JJ Wetherholt grounds into a force out, second baseman Oswald Peraza to shortstop Zach Neto. Blaze Jordan scores. Bryan Torres out at 2nd. JJ Wetherholt to 1st.1–5
1Jo Adell homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. Vaughn Grissom scores.0–5
1Vaughn Grissom singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Jorge Soler scores. Vaughn Grissom to 2nd.0–3
1Jorge Soler doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Mike Trout scores. Nolan Schanuel scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
