Cardinals at Angels
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Angels0%
STL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 0 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 52% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · JJ Wetherholt homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — -14% Cardinals
6JJ Wetherholt homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
