Brewers at Angels
Last play · Wade Meckler grounds out, shortstop Cooper Pratt to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Angels0%
MIL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 1 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-234 / +190
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Turang singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jackson Chourio scores. (inning 8) — -26% Brewers
9Cooper Pratt singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Garrett Mitchell scores.3–1
8Brice Turang singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Jackson Chourio scores.2–1
4Jake Bauers homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1Jorge Soler doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Mike Trout scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
