Brewers at Angels
Last play · Vaughn Grissom strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
MIL 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 6 – 2 LAA
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-162 / +134
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brice Turang homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Cooper Pratt scores. (inning 5) — -21% Brewers
5Denzer Guzman homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Vaughn Grissom scores.6–2
5Jake Bauers homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras scores.6–0
5Brice Turang homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Cooper Pratt scores.3–0
2Cooper Pratt singles on a line drive to left fielder Jose Siri. Jake Bauers scores. Garrett Mitchell to 3rd. Cooper Pratt to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Jose Siri.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
