Rangers at Angels
Last play · Denzer Guzman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Angels0%
TEX 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 1 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-142 / +132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger singles on a line drive to right fielder Wade Meckler. Wyatt Langford scores. Corey Seager scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd. (inning 10) — -29% Rangers
10Jake Burger singles on a line drive to right fielder Wade Meckler. Wyatt Langford scores. Corey Seager scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.4–1
10Brandon Nimmo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wade Meckler. Nicky Lopez scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. Corey Seager to 2nd.2–1
4Elias Díaz singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Jose Siri. Ezequiel Duran scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.1–1
1Mike Trout homers (20) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
