Brewers at Angels
Last play · Luis Lara called out on strikes.
Win probability
Angels100%
MIL 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 2 LAA
Angels led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-234 / +190
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wade Meckler homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Vaughn Grissom scores. (inning 2) — +20% Angels
8Zach Neto singles on a ground ball to third baseman David Hamilton. Denzer Guzman scores.0–3
2Wade Meckler homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Vaughn Grissom scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
