Rangers at Angels
TEX2–
LAA5Last play · Elias Díaz flies out to center fielder Mike Trout.
Win probability
Angels100%
TEX 0%LAA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 1 LAA
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 8 ↓
fair over 52.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-146 / +136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Denzer Guzman hits a sacrifice bunt. Jose Siri scores. Oswald Peraza to 2nd. Denzer Guzman to 1st. (inning 6) — +19% Angels
7Adam Frazier singles on a ground ball to first baseman Jake Burger. Zach Neto scores. Moisés Ballesteros out at home, first baseman Jake Burger to catcher Elias Díaz.2–5
6Mike Trout singles on a ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Oswald Peraza scores. Wade Meckler to 2nd.2–4
6Denzer Guzman hits a sacrifice bunt. Jose Siri scores. Oswald Peraza to 2nd. Denzer Guzman to 1st.2–3
6Jose Siri doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Vaughn Grissom scores.2–2
3Mike Trout singles on a ground ball to center fielder Evan Carter. Denzer Guzman scores.2–1
3Corey Seager homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.2–0
2Joc Pederson walks. Evan Carter scores. Elias Díaz to 3rd. Nicky Lopez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.