Royals at Angels
Last play · Mike Trout called out on strikes.
Win probability
Angels0%
KC 100%LAA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 5 – 5 LAA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+142 / -153
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Angels favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Schanuel doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Denzer Guzman scores. Tyler Heineman scores. Wade Meckler scores. (inning 3) — +38% Angels
7Michael Massey singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Jac Caglianone scores. Michael Massey out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Josh Lowe to second baseman Vaughn Grissom to shortstop Zach Neto.7–6
7Jac Caglianone singles on a line drive to right fielder Josh Lowe. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Jac Caglianone to 2nd. Jac Caglianone advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Zach Neto.6–6
6Josh Lowe homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.5–6
5Nolan Schanuel singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder John Rave. Tyler Heineman scores. Mike Trout out at home on the throw, right fielder John Rave to catcher Carter Jensen.5–5
5Jac Caglianone homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.5–4
3Zach Neto singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Isaac Collins. Nolan Schanuel scores.3–4
3Nolan Schanuel doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder John Rave. Denzer Guzman scores. Tyler Heineman scores. Wade Meckler scores.3–3
3Jac Caglianone singles on a ground ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Kyle Isbel scores. Carter Jensen scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 3rd.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
